An RSI Understanding Risk method
Scenario development
Scenario development is one of the methods used by Risk Sciences International to better understand risk.
Broadly
Scenario development builds structured narratives or models of plausible future conditions under different assumptions. In risk analysis, scenarios are used to test preparedness, explore uncertainty, or assess system resilience. They can be qualitative, quantitative, or hybrid. Effective scenarios are internally consistent, grounded in evidence, and diverse in outcomes. The key challenge is balancing creativity with plausibility.
More specifically
RSI uses scenario development in strategic foresight, emergency planning, and risk prioritization projects. It co-develops scenarios with stakeholders or technical experts and tests their implications using simulation or facilitated discussion. RSI’s scenarios are decision-focused and designed to stimulate insight, dialogue, and preparedness in uncertain or rapidly changing contexts.