An RSI Managing Risk method
Forecasting and early warning systems
Forecasting and early warning systems is one of the methods used by Risk Sciences International to better manage risk.
Broadly
Forecasting and early warning systems (EWS) use data and models to predict adverse events before they occur, enabling preventive or preparatory action. They are widely used in meteorology, public health, and disaster risk reduction. Effective EWS depend on reliable data, predictive accuracy, and timely dissemination. Challenges include false positives, delayed response, and public trust.
More specifically
RSI works with clients to design and implement forecasting and EWS tailored to local contexts and risk types. The firm supports model selection, threshold calibration, and end-user engagement. RSI emphasizes usability, ensuring systems trigger actions that are feasible and well-understood by responsible actors.