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A Retrospective Case-Control Study to Identify Predictors of Unplanned Admission to Pediatric Intensive Care Within 24 Hours of Hospitalization.

OBJECTIVES: To identify the clinical findings available at the time of hospitalization from the emergency department that are associated with deterioration within 24 hours. DESIGN: A retrospective case-control study. SETTING: A pediatric hospital in Ottawa, ON, Canada. PATIENTS: Children less than 18 years old who were hospitalized via the emergency department between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2012. Cases (n = 98) had an unplanned admission to the PICU or unexpected death on the hospital ward within 24 hours of hospitalization and controls (n = 196) did not. INTERVENTIONS: None. MAIN RESULTS: Ninety-eight children (53% boys; mean age 63.2 mo) required early unplanned admission to the PICU. Multivariable conditional logistic regression resulted in a model with five predictors reaching statistical significance: higher triage acuity score (odds ratio, 4.1; 95% CI, 1.7-10.2), tachypnea in the emergency department (odds ratio, 4.6; 95% CI, 1.8-11.8), tachycardia in the emergency department (odds ratio, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.1-6.5), PICU consultation in the emergency department (odds ratio, 8.0; 95% CI, 1.1-57.7), and admission to a ward not typical for age and/or diagnosis (odds ratio, 4.5; 95% CI, 1.7-11.6). CONCLUSIONS: We have identified risk factors that should be included as potential predictor variables in future large, prospective studies to derive and validate a weighted scoring system to identify hospitalized children at high risk of early clinical deterioration.

Authors

  • Krmpotic, Kristina, Krmpotic K, Department of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital of Eastern Ontario, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada.; Departments of Critical Care and Pediatrics, IWK Health Centre, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada.

  • Lobos, Anna-Theresa, Lobos AT, Department of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital of Eastern Ontario, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada.

  • Chan, Jason, Chan J, Children's Hospital of Eastern Ontario Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, Canada.

  • Toppozini, Christina, Toppozini C, Division of Nursing Practice and Education, Children's Hospital of Eastern Ontario, Ottawa, ON, Canada.

  • McGahern, Candice, McGahern C, Children's Hospital of Eastern Ontario Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, Canada.

  • Momoli, Franco, Momoli F, Children's Hospital of Eastern Ontario Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, Canada.; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada.; School of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada.

  • Plint, Amy C, Plint AC, Department of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital of Eastern Ontario, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada.; Department of Emergency Medicine, Children's Hospital of Eastern Ontario, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada.

YEAR OF PUBLICATION: 2019
SOURCE: Pediatr Crit Care Med. 2019 Jul;20(7):e293-e300. doi: 10.1097/PCC.0000000000001977.
JOURNAL TITLE ABBREVIATION: Pediatr Crit Care Med
JOURNAL TITLE: Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies
ISSN: 1529-7535 (Print) 1529-7535 (Linking)
VOLUME: 20
ISSUE: 7
PAGES: e293-e300
PLACE OF PUBLICATION: United States
ABSTRACT:
OBJECTIVES: To identify the clinical findings available at the time of hospitalization from the emergency department that are associated with deterioration within 24 hours. DESIGN: A retrospective case-control study. SETTING: A pediatric hospital in Ottawa, ON, Canada. PATIENTS: Children less than 18 years old who were hospitalized via the emergency department between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2012. Cases (n = 98) had an unplanned admission to the PICU or unexpected death on the hospital ward within 24 hours of hospitalization and controls (n = 196) did not. INTERVENTIONS: None. MAIN RESULTS: Ninety-eight children (53% boys; mean age 63.2 mo) required early unplanned admission to the PICU. Multivariable conditional logistic regression resulted in a model with five predictors reaching statistical significance: higher triage acuity score (odds ratio, 4.1; 95% CI, 1.7-10.2), tachypnea in the emergency department (odds ratio, 4.6; 95% CI, 1.8-11.8), tachycardia in the emergency department (odds ratio, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.1-6.5), PICU consultation in the emergency department (odds ratio, 8.0; 95% CI, 1.1-57.7), and admission to a ward not typical for age and/or diagnosis (odds ratio, 4.5; 95% CI, 1.7-11.6). CONCLUSIONS: We have identified risk factors that should be included as potential predictor variables in future large, prospective studies to derive and validate a weighted scoring system to identify hospitalized children at high risk of early clinical deterioration.
LANGUAGE: eng
DATE OF PUBLICATION: 2019 Jul
DATE COMPLETED: 20200630
DATE REVISED: 20200630
MESH DATE: 2020/07/01 06:00
EDAT: 2019/06/01 06:00
STATUS: MEDLINE
PUBLICATION STATUS: ppublish
LOCATION IDENTIFIER: 10.1097/PCC.0000000000001977 [doi]
COMMENT IN:
ERRATUM IN: Pediatr Crit Care Med. 2019 Nov;20(11):1108. doi: 10.1097/PCC.0000000000002142.||PMID: 31688690
OWNER: NLM

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Franco Momoli

Vice-President Chemical and Product Safety

Dr. Franco Momoli joined Risk Sciences International (RSI) in 2019 and currently serves as Vice-President, Chemical and Product Safety. In this role, he leads a multidisciplinary team of epidemiologists, risk assessors, toxicologists, and biostatisticians in conducting human health risk assessments...
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