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Assessing the State of Knowledge Regarding the Effectiveness of Interventions to Contain Pandemic Influenza Transmission: A Systematic Review and Narrative Synthesis.

BACKGROUND: Influenza pandemics occur when a novel influenza strain, to which humans are immunologically naive, emerges to cause infection and illness on a global scale. Differences in the viral properties of pandemic strains, relative to seasonal ones, can alter the effectiveness of interventions typically implemented to control seasonal influenza burden. As a result, annual control activities may not be sufficient to contain an influenza pandemic. PURPOSE: This study seeks to inform pandemic policy and planning initiatives by reviewing the effectiveness of previous interventions to reduce pandemic influenza transmission and infection. Results will inform the planning and design of more focused in-depth systematic reviews for specific types of interventions, thus providing the most comprehensive and current understanding of the potential for alternative interventions to mitigate the burden of pandemic influenza. METHODS: A systematic review and narrative synthesis of existing systematic reviews and meta-analyses examining intervention effectiveness in containing pandemic influenza transmission was conducted using information collected from five databases (PubMed, Medline, Cochrane, Embase, and Cinahl/EBSCO). Two independent reviewers conducted study screening and quality assessment, extracting data related to intervention impact and effectiveness. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Most included reviews were of moderate to high quality. Although the degree of statistical heterogeneity precluded meta-analysis, the present systematic review examines the wide variety of interventions that can impact influenza transmission in different ways. While it appears that pandemic influenza vaccination provides significant protection against infection, there was insufficient evidence to conclude that antiviral prophylaxis, seasonal influenza cross-protection, or a range of non-pharmaceutical strategies would provide appreciable protection when implemented in isolation. It is likely that an optimal intervention strategy will employ a combination of interventions in a layered approach, though more research is needed to substantiate this proposition. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO 42016039803.

Authors

  • Saunders-Hastings, Patrick, Saunders-Hastings P, University of Ottawa, McLaughlin Centre for Population Health Risk Assessment, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.

  • Reisman, Jane, Reisman J, University of Ottawa, McLaughlin Centre for Population Health Risk Assessment, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.

  • Krewski, Daniel, Krewski D, University of Ottawa, McLaughlin Centre for Population Health Risk Assessment, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.

YEAR OF PUBLICATION: 2016
SOURCE: PLoS One. 2016 Dec 15;11(12):e0168262. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0168262. eCollection 2016.
JOURNAL TITLE ABBREVIATION: PLoS One
JOURNAL TITLE: PloS one
ISSN: 1932-6203 (Electronic) 1932-6203 (Linking)
VOLUME: 11
ISSUE: 12
PAGES: e0168262
PLACE OF PUBLICATION: United States
ABSTRACT:
BACKGROUND: Influenza pandemics occur when a novel influenza strain, to which humans are immunologically naive, emerges to cause infection and illness on a global scale. Differences in the viral properties of pandemic strains, relative to seasonal ones, can alter the effectiveness of interventions typically implemented to control seasonal influenza burden. As a result, annual control activities may not be sufficient to contain an influenza pandemic. PURPOSE: This study seeks to inform pandemic policy and planning initiatives by reviewing the effectiveness of previous interventions to reduce pandemic influenza transmission and infection. Results will inform the planning and design of more focused in-depth systematic reviews for specific types of interventions, thus providing the most comprehensive and current understanding of the potential for alternative interventions to mitigate the burden of pandemic influenza. METHODS: A systematic review and narrative synthesis of existing systematic reviews and meta-analyses examining intervention effectiveness in containing pandemic influenza transmission was conducted using information collected from five databases (PubMed, Medline, Cochrane, Embase, and Cinahl/EBSCO). Two independent reviewers conducted study screening and quality assessment, extracting data related to intervention impact and effectiveness. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Most included reviews were of moderate to high quality. Although the degree of statistical heterogeneity precluded meta-analysis, the present systematic review examines the wide variety of interventions that can impact influenza transmission in different ways. While it appears that pandemic influenza vaccination provides significant protection against infection, there was insufficient evidence to conclude that antiviral prophylaxis, seasonal influenza cross-protection, or a range of non-pharmaceutical strategies would provide appreciable protection when implemented in isolation. It is likely that an optimal intervention strategy will employ a combination of interventions in a layered approach, though more research is needed to substantiate this proposition. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO 42016039803.
LANGUAGE: eng
DATE OF PUBLICATION: 2016
DATE OF ELECTRONIC PUBLICATION: 20161215
DATE COMPLETED: 20170705
DATE REVISED: 20250626
MESH DATE: 2017/07/06 06:00
EDAT: 2016/12/16 06:00
STATUS: MEDLINE
PUBLICATION STATUS: epublish
LOCATION IDENTIFIER: 10.1371/journal.pone.0168262 [doi] e0168262
OWNER: NLM

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Daniel Krewski

Chief Risk Scientist

Dr. Daniel Krewski is Chief Risk Scientist and co-founder of Risk Sciences International (RSI), a firm established in 2006 to bring evidence-based, multidisciplinary expertise to the challenge of understanding, managing, and communicating risk. As RSI’s inaugural CEO and long-time scientific...
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